Wednesday, January 14, 2015

2014 Oscar Nominations Predictions

So with my busy work schedule I didn't have time to make comments for each category. Instead, I have listed the films that I believe have a realistic shot at getting an Oscar Nomination Thursday morning in each category.

I will, however, give some quick commentary here. Boyhood seems like the one to beat at the moment, but that could easily change. Selma is a wild card. It didn't get screeners to the guilds, meaning it missed all of the precursors, but it did get screeners to the Academy. This means the lack of guild nominations doesn't hurt it, but it does mean that we do not have a barometer of how much the Academy liked it. After some early success, The Theory of Everything's buzz has faded, and The Grand Budapest Hotel, Nightcrawler, and Whiplash have found their buzz growing steadily. Unbroken is just about done for, save some tech categories. Foxcatcher and Gone Girl have support, but will likely fall prey to strong competition.

Films are listed in order of probability of a nomination.

BEST PICTURE
Boyhood
The Imitation GAme
Birdman
Selma
The Grand Budapest Hotel


The Theory of Everything
American Sniper
Whiplash
Nightcrawler
Gone Girl


Foxcatcher
Unbroken
Into the Woods


BEST DIRECTOR
Richard Linklater-Boyhood
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu-Birdman
Morten Tyldum-The Imitation Game
Ava DuVernay-Selma
WEs Anderson-The Grand Budapest Hotel


Clint Eastwood-American Sniper
Dan Gilroy-Nightcrawler
David Fincher-Gone Girl
Damien Chazelle-Whiplash
James Marsh-The Theory of Everything


BEST ACTOR
Michael KEaton-Birdman
Eddie Redmayne-The Theory of Everything
Benedict Cumberbatch-The Imitation Game
Jake Gyllenhaal-Nightcrawler
David Oyelowo-Selma


Bradley Cooper-American Sniper
Steve Carell-Foxcatcher


BEST ACTRESS
Julianne Moore-Still Alice
Reese Witherspoon-Wild
Rosamund Pike-Gone Girl
Jennifer Aniston-Cake
Felicity Jones-The Theory of Everything


Amy Adams-Big Eyes
Marion Cotillard-Two Days, One Night


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
J.K. Simmons-Whiplash
Edward Norton-Birdman
Ethan Hawke-Boyhood
Mark Ruffalo-Foxcatcher
Robert Duvall-The Judge


Josh Brolin-Inherent Vice


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Patricia Arquette-Boyhood
Emma Stone-Birdman
Keira Knightley-The Imitation Game
Meryl Streep-Into the Woods
Jessica Chastain-A Most Violent Year


Rene Russo-Nightcrawler
Laura Dern-Wild


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Boyhood
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Nightcrawler
Mr. Turner


Selma
Foxcatcher


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
THe Imitation Game
Gone Girl
The Theory of Everything
American Sniper
Whiplash


Inherent Vice
Wild
Unbroken


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Lego Movie
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Big Hero 6
THe Boxtrolls
Song of the SEa


The Tale of Princess Kaguya


BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Ida (Poland)
Leviathan (Russia)
Timbuktu (Mauritania)
Wild Tales (Argentina)
Force Majeure (Sweden)


Tangerines (Estonia)


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Citizenfour
Life Itself
The Overnighters
Last Days in Vietnam
Virunga


Keep on Keepin on
Finding Vivian Maier
The Case Against 8


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Birdman
Mr. Turner
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Unbroken
Interstellar


The Theory of Everything
Ida
A Most Violent Year


BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Into the Woods
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Mr. Turner
Selma


Maleficent
The Theory of Everything


BEST EDITING
Boyhood
Birdman
Whiplash
The Imitation Game
Gone Girl


The Grand Budapest Hotel
Selma
Nightcrawler
American Sniper
Wild


BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Theory of Everything
The Grand Budapest Hotel


Foxcatcher
Noah


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Into the Woods
The Imitation Game
Mr. Turner
Interstellar


Birdman
Big Eyes
Maleficent


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Theory of Everything
The Imitation Game
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Homesman
Interstellar


Gone Girl


BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Glory”-Selma
“Lost Stars”-Begin Again
“Not Gonna Miss You”-Glenn Campbell: I’ll be Me
“Everything is Awesome”-The Lego Movie
“Mercy is”-Noah


“Ryan’s Song”-Boyhood
“America for Me”-A Most Violent Year
“Big Eyes”-Big Eyes


BEST SOUND EDITING
American Sniper
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galaxy
Godzilla
Fury


Interstellar
Unbroken
Birdman
Gone Girl


BEST SOUND MIXING
Into the Woods
American Sniper
Unbroken
Birdman
Guardians of the Galaxy


Transformers: Age of Extinction
Fury
The Imitation GAme
Get on Up
Interstellar


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
Interstellar
Guardians of the Galaxy
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
Godzilla

X-Men: Days of Future Past

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