With the Oscar nominations being announced tomorrow, I thought I'd take a look at the films likely to be nominated. The separation indicates the films I think will get nominated, and the films that have a decent shot to upset my predictions. They are ranked in order of likelihood of nomination. Bold in the major categories represents a lock, or a film that's nomination is already pretty much set in stone. In the technical categories, since there's always a degree of randomness that prevents a true lock from being a possibility, bold instead represents a safe bet, a film that, while not necessarily set in stone, would be a huge shock if it missed out.
So check these out, see if you agree, and we'll see tomorrow morning if I did well.
MAJOR CATEGORIES
PICTURE
Lincoln
Argo
Zero Dark Thirty
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Django Unchained
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Amour
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Brave
Frankenweenie
Wreck it Ralph
Paranorman
The Painting
Rise of the Guardians
The Rabbi's Cat
Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted
BEST DIRECTOR
Steven Spielberg-Lincoln
Ben Affleck-Argo
Kathryn Bigelow-Zero Dark Thirty
Tom Hooper-Les Miserables
Ang Lee-Life of Pi
David O. Russell-Silver Linings Playbook
Quentin Tarantino-Django Unchained
Michael Haneke-Amour
Paul Thomas Anderson-The Master
BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day Lewis-Lincoln
Hugh Jackman-Les Miserables
John Hawkes-The Sessions
Denzel Washington-Flight
Bradley Cooper-Silver Linings Playbook
Joaquin Phoenix
BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain-Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence-Silver Linings Playbook
Marion Cotillard-Rust and Bone
Naomi Watts-The Impossible
Quvenzhane Wallis-Beasts of the Southern Wild
Emmanuelle Riva-Amour
Helen Mirren-Hitchcock
Keira Knightley-Anna Karenina
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Tommy Lee Jones-Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman-The Master
Robert De Niro-Silver Linings Playbook
Alan Arkin-Argo
Christoph Waltz-Django Unchained
Leonardo DiCaprio-Django Unchained
Eddie Redmayne-Les Miserables
Javier Bardem-Skyfall
Matthew McConaughey-Magic Mike
Dwight Henry-Beasts of the Southern Wild
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway-Les Miserables
Sally Field-Lincoln
Helen Hunt-The Sessions
Amy Adams-The Master
Ann Dowd-Compliance
Maggie Smith-The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Nicole Kidman-The Paperboy
Samantha Barks-Les Miserables
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Zero Dark Thirty
The Master
Django Unchained
Moonrise Kingdom
Amour
Flight
Looper
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Les Miserables
TECHNICAL CATEGORIES
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Lincoln
Life of Pi
Anna Karenina
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Cloud Atlas
Cloud Atlas
Moonrise Kingdom
The Master
Argo
Zero Dark Thirty
Zero Dark Thirty
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Suddenly-Les Miserables
Skyfall-Skyfall
Still Alive-Paul Williams Still Alive
Learn Me Right-Brave
Ancora Qui-Django Unchained
Ancora Qui-Django Unchained
Pi's Lullaby-Life of Pi
Breath of life-Snow White and the Huntsman
Breath of life-Snow White and the Huntsman
For You-Act of Valor
BEST EDITING
Zero Dark Thirty
Argo
Lincoln
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Django Unchained
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Skyfall
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Zero Dark Thirty
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Les Miserables
Anna Karenina
Lincoln
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Life of Pi
Skyfall
Skyfall
The Master
Prometheus
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Django Unchained
Snow White and the Huntsman
Lincoln
Lincoln
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Argo
Mirror Mirror
A Royal Affair
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Lincoln
Hitchcock
Looper
Les Miserables
BEST SOUND MIXING
Les Miserables
Zero Dark Thirty
Life of Pi
Skyfall
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Django Unchained
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
Prometheus
BEST SOUND EDITING
Zero Dark Thirty
The Dark Knight Rises
Skyfall
Life of Pi
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
The Avengers
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Life of Pi
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
The Avengers
Cloud Atlas
The Dark Knight Rises
Snow White and the Huntsman
Prometheus
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Amour
The Intouchables
A Royal Affair
War Witch
No
Kon Tiki
Sister
The Deep
BEST DOCUMENTARY
How to Survive a Plague
Searching for Sugar Man
The Gatekeepers
The Imposter
Bully
Mea Maxima Culpa: Silence in the House of God
The Invisible War
Chasing Ice
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